Conviction scoremacro thesis · 4 years
74Strong
+6 over 7 days
Market alignment with your thesis, recalculated every hour.
Oscillators+18
Moving averages+22
On-chain fundamentals+14
Sentiment+9
BTC+2,4 %
ETH+1,1 %
SOL−0,8 %
LINK+3,6 %
DOT−1,4 %
Dominance56,8 %
The multi-agent diagnostic
45 agents. Seven families. One verdict.
A single model answers fast and rarely contradicts itself — that's the problem. Metena has 45 specialized agents, grouped into seven analysis families, build the case for your thesis, then sets them against each other. The Owl arbitrates: what's left is your diagnostic for the day.
in progress
Technical family
Trend structure, oscillators and volatility across 16 horizons.
9 agents · 4,200 candles
Favorable+22
confidence 78 %pending
Fundamental family
Protocol revenue, issuance, real adoption, dated catalysts.
8 agents · 38 protocols
Favorable+14
confidence 64 %pending
On-chain family
Active addresses, exchange flows, long-term holding.
6 agents · 12 metrics
Contradictory−6
confidence 71 %pending
Macro family
Rates, liquidity, European and US regulatory calendar.
7 agents · 9 official sources
Neutral+2
confidence 58 %pending
Behavioral family
Your past decisions, tilt phases, deviations from your constitution.
5 agents · 12-month history
Caution−3
confidence 52 %pending
Risk family
Aggregate leverage, cross-correlations, liquidity depth.
6 agents · leverage · liquidity
Caution−4
confidence 81 %pending
Money management family
Position size, reserve, compliance with your exposure limits.
4 agents · your rules
Compliant+5
confidence 74 %7 agent families
TechnicalFavorable+22
FundamentalFavorable+14
On-chainContradictory−6
MacroNeutral+2
BehavioralCaution−3
RiskCaution−4
Money managementCompliant+5
Arbitration · weighted by your rules
Conviction score, out of 100broken down into 5 components
Morning brief4 facts kept out of 8,630 data points
Invalidation monitored22% away from the exit threshold
Product illustration, simulated data. Information provided by the AI is for educational purposes only.
4 min
instead of two hours of monitoring
The diagnostic replaces scattered reading across dozens of sources. You go straight to the fact that matters and its effect on your thesis.
0
hidden contradiction
When two agents disagree, the disagreement is shown as-is — with each one's weight. No average smooths over the doubt.
100 %
of claims traceable
Every fact links back to its dated source: ETF flow, on-chain metric, regulatory text. You can always trace the chain.
Intelligence at work
Every morning, a brief. Never a feed.
The problem isn't a lack of market information — it's a lack of hierarchy. Metena reads price, indicators, on-chain data, macro, regulation and specialized press, then keeps only what moves your thesis.
The result fits in a few sentences, sourced and dated. You know what changed, why it matters, and what it doesn't imply.
- Ingesting sourcesprice · on-chain · press · macro · regulatory
- Extracting facts412 items kept out of 8,630
- Weighting by your signals5 components · weights from your strategy
- Testing against your thesischecking all 4 invalidation conditions
- Writing the briefsourced, dated, in your language
- Cycle completenext run in 60 minutes
The complex, made legible
One number, and everything inside it.
The score isn't a black box. Open it up: you'll find its components, their weight, their direction, and the sentence explaining why they matter today. Select a component to read its reasoning.
Component reading
Moving averages
The moving-average structure stays bullish across every horizon you track. It's the most stable component of your current reading, and the one that would deteriorate most slowly in a reversal.
Contribution
+22
Weight
25 %
7-day trend
+2
Without a method · the raw feed6 contradictions
- RSI 14 · overbought
- MACD · bullish
- ETF flows · positive
- Funding · stretched
- Active addresses · stable
- Open interest · record
- Dominance · +2.4 pts
- Press · 26 headlines
45 agents
arbitration
arbitration
With Metena · the reading+6 / 7d
74Strong
What makes up the score
- Moving averages+22
- Oscillators+18
- On-chain fundamentals+14
- Macro & regulatory+11
- Sentiment+9
Recommended actionNone — DCA maintained
Invalidation22% from the threshold
What moved the score · 90 days
Technical44 %Fundamental34 %Regulatory & macro22 %
Backtest and technical indicators
Ten years of history before your first euro.
Your rules don't stay intentions: Metena replays them over ten years of real data, measures the maximum drawdown they would have caused, then projects thousands of possible futures before you commit a single euro.
Low scenario (p5)×1,0Median×2,0High scenario (p95)×2,9
- RSI 1458
- MACD 12/26/9bullish crossover
- EMA 50 / 200golden cross
- Bollinger Bands+1.2σ
- ATR 143.1%
- Stochastic RSI71
- Ichimokuabove the cloud
- OBVrising
- VWAP 30d+4.6%
- Perpetuals funding+0.012%
- Open interestyearly high
- MVRV2.1
EpisodeYour rulesMarket
Covid crash · March 2020−22 %−51 %
LUNA collapse · May 2022−17 %−38 %
FTX collapse · Nov. 2022−12 %−26 %
×1,0
p5
×1,3
p25
×2,0
median
×2,2
p75
×2,9
p95
Simulations on historical data, for illustration only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Run the diagnostic on your own thesis.
A few minutes to write your strategy, an immediate first score, a backtest by the first evening.
Under the hood of the diagnostic
Beneath the score, an instrument.
Metena doesn't produce an opinion: it instruments your strategy. Every hour, thousands of data points are reduced to a handful of facts, weighted by your rules, then tested against your thesis. Here's what happens in between.
your thesismarket
The gap is visible at a glance: the market supports your technical reading but still lags the on-chain adoption your thesis assumes.
Sources
ETF flowsDerivativesOn-chainCrypto pressEU Official Journal
Extracted facts
3 sessions of net inflowsOpen interest at a highActive addresses stableMiCA timeline clarified
Effect on your thesis
Thesis reinforcedDownside-wick riskNo invalidation
Product illustration, simulated data. Information provided by the AI is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
Your constitution
Write your rules before you need them.
Most bad decisions get made in the heat of the moment. Metena has you write your strategy when nothing is happening, then reads it back to you on the day it becomes hard to keep.
signed
Article I
Macro thesis
Four-year accumulation, minimum 24-month horizon, no leveraged positions.
active
Article II
Action rules
Fixed weekly DCA. Add only if conviction stays above 70 for five days.
monitored
Article III
Invalidation
Full exit if BTC closes two consecutive weeks below $20,000.
signed
Article IV
Money management
No position beyond 25% of the portfolio. Stablecoin reserve held at 15%.
The breadth of the intelligence
Seven domains orbiting your conviction.
In the app, everything revolves around a single question. Choose a domain to see what Metena monitors there.
Fundamental
The value behind the price
Metena tracks what keeps an asset relevant over time: protocol economics, issuance, real adoption, dated catalysts.
- ·Tokenomics and unlock schedules
- ·Protocol revenue and real usage
- ·Short- and medium-term catalysts, weighted
Continuous improvement
Your strategy learns from your decisions.
Every recorded conviction becomes data about you: the market phases where your judgment is reliable, the ones where it slips, and what decisions made under pressure cost you.
Your rules are then tested against history and simulated in real time — before you commit a single euro.
12-month accuracy
64 %
Convictions confirmed by the market.
Compliant days
27 / 31
Decisions that stayed within your constitution.
Edge in trend
+71 %
Your judgment at its most reliable.
Edge in shock
−39 %
Zone where Metena tightens its reminders.
71 %Bullish
58 %Distribution
44 %Bearish
66 %Accumulation
39 %Shock
62 %Sideways
"You kept your rules 27 days out of 31. Both slips happened within 48h of a drop of more than 8%."
Trust
We make nothing when you trade.
Metena is neither a broker, a custodian, nor a referral partner. Our only revenue is the subscription — which leaves us free to recommend inaction, which is in fact what the product does most of the time.
- Read-only
- Metena connects to your platforms and wallets with no order or withdrawal rights. No transaction key is ever requested.
- Sourced claims
- Every statement in the brief links back to the data or article behind it. You can always verify.
- No commission
- We take nothing on your transactions. The subscription is our only source of revenue.
- Acknowledged limits
- The AI can be wrong, and the product says so. Uncertainty is shown, not hidden.
With or without a method
What changes when you write your strategy down, then stick to it.
| Alone, following the news | With Metena | |
|---|---|---|
| Deciding | Following the news, often after the move, driven by the last headline read. | By rules written in cold blood, recalled at the exact moment they become hard to keep. |
| Understanding | Contradictory indicators, no hierarchy, no synthesis. | One single reading, breakable into verifiable components you weight yourself. |
| Exiting | Improvised, late, rarely owned. | Invalidation conditions written in advance and checked every cycle. |
| Improving | No memory of past decisions, so no measurable learning. | A conviction history, accuracy by market phase, monthly report. |
| Time | Several scattered hours a week. | A few minutes a day, on what matters. |
Metena Premium
Two ways to stick to your strategy.
You have the version that watches. Premium is the one that keeps watch — and warns you in cold blood.
45specialized agents, across 7 analysis families
- Technical
- Fundamental
- On-chain
- Macro
- Behavioral
- Risk
- Money management
Premium runs the agents on the latest, most powerful models. On the free plan, lighter models — and only two diagnostics.
"A thesis isn't defended on the day it's written, but on the day it's contradicted."
Active strategies
Free1 max
PremiumUnlimited
AI models
FreeStandard
PremiumLatest models
Multi-agent diagnostic
Free2 runs
PremiumUnlimited
Full agent report
Free—
Premium✓
Owl messages
Free10 / day
PremiumUnlimited
Daily AI brief
Free—
Premium✓
Invalidation alerts
Free—
Premium✓
Backtest
Free—
Premium✓
Then €143.88 / year · cancel anytime
iOS 16+ · Android 10+ · payment charged on confirmation · renews unless canceled 24h before · data hosted in the EU
Frequently asked questions
Does Metena place orders on my behalf?
No. Metena is an analysis and discipline tool, not a broker. Connections to your platforms and wallets are read-only: the app reads your balances to calculate your exposure, without the ability to buy, sell, or withdraw.
What exactly does the conviction score measure?
The alignment between the market as it is and the thesis you wrote. It aggregates five families of weighted components based on your strategy and stays fully breakable down. It is not a price forecast.
Does the AI replace my judgment?
No, it documents it and tests it against your own rules. The information generated is educational and does not constitute investment advice; the decision remains yours.
Do I need to already know crypto?
No. The journey starts with your thesis and your horizon, not with picking an asset, and every term is explained in context. Experienced investors mostly come for the formalism and the discipline tracking.
Why an owl?
Because Athena's owl is the symbol of wisdom and sight in the dark — exactly what an investment tool should be: patient, clear-eyed, never spectacular.
What's included in Premium?
Unlimited strategies, unlimited multi-agent diagnostics on the latest AI models, a full agent report, unlimited messages with the Owl, a daily AI brief, invalidation alerts and backtesting. €11.99 per month on the annual plan (€143.88 billed once a year) or €19.99 per month with no commitment, after a 7-day free trial.
Legal notice
Publisher
Metena, a sole proprietorship based in Paris, France. contact@metena.app
Hosting
Hetzner (Frankfurt), Supabase EU, self-hosted PostHog, Mistral AI (France). No data outside the European Union.
Personal data
API keys encrypted with AES-256-GCM, read-only. GDPR rights within 30 days: privacy@metena.app
Ownership and liability
The app, its algorithms and the Owl character are the property of Metena. A decision-support tool, not a financial advisor.
Figures on this page
The scores, charts, backtests and statistics shown on this page are illustrative: they describe how the product works and do not constitute a real performance, a forecast, or a guarantee.