How the diagnostic is built
The health score of your crypto strategy follows rules published here: who analyses what, with which data, and how the findings become a score out of 100.
What the diagnostic examines
- Your strategy as you wrote it: thesis, entry rules, exit rules, invalidation conditions, target allocation.
- Your real portfolio, if an exchange or a wallet is connected.
- The market context at the time you run it: prices, volumes, on-chain indicators, macroeconomics, news.
- Your past decisions, if you keep your journal. They feed the behaviour analysis.
If a field of your strategy is empty, a working assumption is proposed so that the analysis can be carried out. It is shown as such in the report and is not saved to your strategy.
47 agents, three steps
- Analysis. 42 specialised agents each examine one specific point: position sizing, liquidity, counterparty risk, decision biases, volatility… Each returns a separate finding, with a status.
- Challenge. Four agents review the whole: synthesis, explanation, suggested adjustments, commentary on the score. Contradictions between analyses appear at this step.
- Arbitration. A final agent assembles the report you read.
A full diagnostic takes one to two minutes. It runs when you ask for it, never on its own.
Eight weighted pillars
The 42 agents fall into nine families. Eight are scored and form the pillars of the score. The ninth, opportunities, suggests avenues outside your current strategy and does not count towards the score.
| Pillar | What it examines | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Capital management | Performance, allocation, diversification, rebalancing, exposure | 18% |
| Risk management | Risk of loss, liquidity, counterparty, stablecoins, security | 18% |
| On-chain | Wallets, DeFi protocols, bridges, contracts, yields | 13% |
| Behaviour | Psychology, discipline, timing, conviction, biases | 13% |
| Macro | Macroeconomic context, sentiment, narratives, correlation with traditional markets, volatility | 13% |
| News | Macroeconomic news, news on your assets, geopolitics | 10% |
| Optimisation | Fees, taxation, comparison with a benchmark index | 9% |
| Technical | Indicators, balance between entries and exits, execution quality | 6% |
From finding to score
- Each agent returns a status: healthy (100), to watch (50) or critical (0).
- A pillar’s score is the average of its agents' statuses.
- The health score is the average of the pillars, weighted by the weights above.
- An agent that lacks data answers "insufficient data" and is left out of the calculation. It pulls the score neither up nor down.
From 70 upwards, the strategy is rated healthy. Between 40 and 69, it is to watch. Below that, it is critical. The status shown for a pillar is that of its most severe finding: a pillar scored 80 can carry a critical alert.
The score is a calculation. The language model writes the findings and the commentary; it does not choose the number. Two diagnostics that reach the same findings give the same score.
Data sources
- Prices and volumes: Binance and CoinGecko.
- DeFi protocol yields: DefiLlama.
- News: specialist press, cited in the report.
- Your positions: your exchanges connected read-only and your wallets through their public address.
The backtest, the Monte Carlo simulations and the discipline score are calculations on numerical data. No language model is involved in them.
Backtest and replayed crises
The backtest applies your rules to the price history, over a period of up to about eight years depending on the asset. Six market episodes are replayed separately:
- Covid crash, March 2020
- Terra-Luna collapse, May 2022
- Crypto credit contagion, June 2022
- FTX bankruptcy, November 2022
- USDC depeg, March 2023
- Yen carry trade unwind, August 2024
A backtest describes the past. It does not predict what comes next and says nothing about a crisis of a new kind.
What the diagnostic does not do
- It does not recommend any asset to buy or sell.
- It does not predict prices.
- It can be wrong: a language model can misinterpret a piece of data. The report cites its sources so that you can check.
- It depends on what you wrote. A vague strategy gives a vague diagnostic.
- It does not replace an investment adviser.
